Wednesday, July 28, 2004
Technology Futures poll
Tech Review is carrying an incredibly unscentific, yet interesting poll on which country will be the technological leader in the year 2050. Unscientific because estimating the future of technological capability is even more dodgy than estimating economic futures, where some sort of estimate can be made, without accounting for geo-political changes, of course. Nevertheless, the poll is interesting because it reflects the increasing belief that the 21st century will be an Asian one, even if the U.S. maintains its dominance in the early part of the century. When I last checked, the technology pecking order for 2050 was the U.S. (with 25.2% of votes polled) followed by India (23.4%), China (20.8%) and "no clear leader" (12.6%).
